Over 233 Million 4K TVs to Ship in 2024, with 8K on the Horizon: ABI Research

“The cost of 8K TV sets is far from affordable for most consumers”
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Using a combination of unique Sony technologies, the XBR-65X950B offers a superior picture quality than standard 4K resolution. Sony’s 4K X Reality™ PRO picture engine can upscale a variety of content regardless of source to beautiful 4K resolution; while TRILUMINOS™ Display’s wide color spectrum works in unison to reproduce lifelike color. The flagship XBR-X950B series comes in 85“ and 65-inch class screen sizes and incorporates all the best of Sony’s technologies for an unparalleled picture quality. This model uses X-tended Dynamic Range PRO technology, driven by direct LED arrays which are arranged in the backside of the panel, to achieve a much wider dynamic range of brightness, with higher peaks and deeper blacks, using a unique backlighting algorithm to further enhance picture quality. It supports HDMI® 2.0 standard, giving it the ability to display 4K/60p content, and incorporate a decoder to support the latest HEVC codec decoding and can playback 4K/60p content and Internet streaming services. It is also compatible with MHL 3.0 which supports 4K output from smartphones and tablets. In addition, each 4K Ultra HD TV incorporates Sony’s ClearAudio+ digital signal processing for improved high-quality audio. ClearAudio+™ combines a variety of Sony technologies to create an immersive experience with clear vocals and a wide range of sound.

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As worldwide TV household penetration is quite saturated, the flat panel TV market has been driven by consumer adoption of TVs with higher resolution, larger screen size, and connected and integrated applications and services. While flat panel TV makers have announced 8K TV sets, it is the 4K TV market that will continue to grow to cement its place as the mainstream TV format over the next few years. ABI Research, a global tech market advisory firm, forecasts that 4K flat panel TV shipments will grow at 13 percent CAGR to reach 233 million in 2024.

Flat panel TV makers including Samsung, Sony, LG, and TCL announced the introduction of 8K flat panel TV models, which are priced between USD $5,000 and USD $70,000 depending on the display size. “The cost of 8K TV sets is far from affordable for most consumers,” said Khin Sandi Lynn, industry analyst at ABI Research. “This will limit the sales volume for the foreseeable future; however, we can expect the price points to decline to a more reasonable level over the next several years just as 4K sets have.”

However, the lack of content and distribution models are more significant barriers than cost for 8K TV adoption at the moment. Aside from 8K channels provided by Japanese broadcaster NHK, there are no other 8K broadcast channels currently available, although Korean Broadcasting Corporation (KBS) is working toward an 8K broadcast. While streaming service provider Rakuten recently announced its interest to provide 8K content in late 2019, service providers overall are not ready for 8K content, nor is there much incentive for content providers due to limited 8K TV set adoption at present.

See also: Will 8K Dampen 4K TV Sales?

8K content also needs larger data files, which creates challenges in content distribution and data management. Versatile Video Coding (VVC), which achieved 34 percent higher efficiency over HEVC, is currently in the process of standardization. VVC will play a vital role in driving the 8K TV market when the final standardization completes in 2020. 8K is likely to gain momentum only when challenges are addressed, and the ecosystem evolves.

“For now, 4K will be the dominant format of the flat panel TV market, and of the content ecosystem as a result,” Lynn said. “4K TV household penetration will reach slightly more than half of the TV households in mature markets, and with penetration still relatively low in emerging markets, there is significant room for 4K market growth in the years to come.”

These findings are from ABI Research’s Media Devices: UltraHD, 4K, HDR, 8K, HEVC market data report. This report is part of the company’s Video & Cloud Services research service, which includes research, data, and analyst insights. Market Data spreadsheets are composed of deep data, market share analysis, and highly segmented, service-specific forecasts to provide detailed insight where opportunities lie.

See also: Vizio 4K TVs Go Wider, Higher, Deeper

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