– Mobile PC shipments will drive up worldwide
computer shipment numbers for 2009 almost 3 percent, said Gartner.
This is a major turnaround from what research firm Gartner was
predicting just two months ago. In September the company expected a 2 percent
decline in shipments, but a strong third quarter spurred the increase. Adding
fuel to the 2009 rally is the fact that shipments in the fourth quarter of 2008
were very low, making the growth during the fourth quarter this year appear
even stronger, said George Shiffler, Gartner’s research director.
Gartner is forecasting for this trend to continue into 2010 when
worldwide computer shipments will again gain double-digit growth, with 336.6
million units leaving factories, a 12.6 percent jump over 2009.
Mobile PC shipments will hit 162 million units this year, a 15.4
percent increase. This will jump to 196.4 million units in 2010. Netbook
shipments will be responsible for a major portion of this increase, with
shipments rising to 29 million this year and to 41 million in 2010.
However, the shipment increases will not help retailers’ bottom
lines as average selling prices will continue to fall.
The average market value for all PCs expected to ship this year
will decline 10.7 percent to $217 billion, according to Gartner. However, this
will turn around slightly next year, with Gartner expecting a 2.6 percent
increase in overall market value.
Shiffler said consumers’ desire for “good enough” PCs has forced
down average selling prices. This downward trend will slow as the worldwide
recession begins to fade, but Shiffler does not see an increase in average
selling prices any time soon.