2009 PC Shipments To Fall: iSuppli - Twice

2009 PC Shipments To Fall: iSuppli

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El Segundo, Calif. - The research firm iSuppli is forecasting a decline for computer unit shipments this year, the first since 2001.

iSuppli expects worldwide PC shipments to fall 4 percent in 2009, down 11.9 million, to 287.3 million. Previously, the company predicted a slight 0.7 increase for the year.

"An annual decline in unit shipments is highly unusual in the PC market," observed Matthew Wilkins, iSuppli's principal analyst, computer platforms. "Even in weak years, PC unit shipments typically rise by single-digit percentages."

The 2001 decline came on the heels of the dot-com bust and resulted in a 5.1 percent year-over-year decrease in

shipments.

Wilkins said this year's drop is due to the expected 18.1 percent decline in desktop PCs. This far offset the 11.7 increase notebooks computer shipments will experience in 2009.

Looking forward, iSuppli expects second-quarter shipments to be flat, but the firm expects strong quarter-over-quarter shipments in the third quarter. However, these will still be below what was experienced during the same period in 2008.

Shipments should again rise staring in 2010.

Global PC Shipment Forecast (in thousands of units)

 2008

 2009

 2010

 2011

2012

 2013

 299,206

 287,344

 300,831

 319,740

 342,089

 364,938

 11.5%

 -4%

 4.7%

 6.3%

 7%

 6.7%

 Source: iSuppli

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