Englewood, Colo. - The
opportunity for dedicated handheld gaming devices such as Sony's planned NGP
(next-generation portable) is shrinking because of the rise of game-playing
smartphones and other handheld devices, IHS
Screen Digest concludes.
On smartphones, games are
plentiful and cheap, and "this combination will deliver a hammer blow to
specialist devices like the NGP," said senior analyst Piers Harding-Rolls. "The
overlap between the average future NGP user -- males aged 14 to 35 with high
disposable income -- as well as the high-end smartphone user is substantial."
As a result, HIS said it "believes that the opportunity for NGP is narrowing,
especially in Western markets."
The market opportunity for
specialty gaming devices "is shrinking rather than growing," and "short- and
medium-term market conditions are less supportive of the release of a high-end
handheld console," IHS continued. By the end of the fourth year after its
release, IHS expects the NGP's total installed base to hot 22.8 million units,
less than the 30.7 million installed base achieved by Sony PSP handheld during
the same length of time.
Smartphones, he said, "are now aggressively
intercepting a wide range of consumers further up what is described as the
consumption chain," which is increasingly dominated by mainstream devices that
are used for a wide range of everyday activities and that also happen to serve
games content." When consumers are on the move, he said, "this represents a
convergence of activities into single devices, a trend that will result in
usage away from specialist devices by the mainstream consumer and onto smartphones."
Englewood, Colo. - The opportunity for dedicated handheld gaming devices such as Sony's planned NGP is shrinking because of the rise of game-playing smartphones and other handheld devices, IHS Screen Digest concludes.