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Economic Jitters Blunt Super Bowl Sales

Shades of Black Friday: Circulars heralded steep promotions to spur TV sales

By Alan Wolf -- TWICE, 2/11/2008

Sidebars:
CEA Forecast: Super Bowl Moved 2.4M HDTVs

NEW YORK — Consumers' macroeconomic concerns took some of the wind out of Super Bowl TV sales, prompting vendors and retailers to resort to steep promotions to drive volume.

"Those that are promoting are doing well — those that aren't are struggling the most," said Jim Ristow, executive VP of Home Entertainment Source (HES), of his buying group's nearly 500 specialty A/V dealers.

Ristow described a "perfect storm" of macroeconomic factors — including the housing bubble, the sub-prime mortgage crisis, stock market volatility and even the presidential election — that will shake consumer confidence well past the Super Bowl and impact discretionary spending for much of the year.

Indeed, consumer spending was flat in December, a recent U.S. Department of Commerce report showed, with record-high oil and food prices diverting holiday-related sales. The report underscored the largely disappointing revenue figures posted by leading consumer electronics and other retail chains for the month.

The trend, it appeared, continued through January. "In consumer electronics, we believe that Super Bowl is proving disappointing and that weakness is across the board," observed Bank of America retail analyst David Strasser. "TV sales as always are the focus this time of year, but it is not holding up to past years." Strasser said in a research note that softness in Florida and California, which were hardest hit by the housing downturn, has spread to other parts of the country, and predicted negative January comps for CE specialty leaders Best Buy and Circuit City.

To help spur TV sales, dealers as well as vendors assumed an aggressive promotional stance. "We're seeing some unexpected promotional activity from the vendor community, over and above their scheduled Super Bowl promotions," Ristow said. "That's a telltale sign that business is challenging."

Mike Gatti, executive director of the Retail Advertising and Marketing Association (RAMA), a division of the National Retail Federation, said retail promotions were expected to have a big influence on buying behavior. "Smart shoppers hold off on major purchases like televisions and entertainment centers until retailers are offering special discounts and promotions," he noted. "After a lackluster holiday season, retailers will be courting consumers with their very best deals on electronics, furniture and even food in anticipation of the Super Bowl."

That was certainly the case at Wal-Mart, which cut prices 10 percent to 30 percent on a wide range of products including CE, and offered 18-month no-interest terms on purchases of $250 or more that were made with a Wal-Mart private-label credit card.

"We all know economic times are tough," said John Fleming, Wal-Mart's chief merchandising officer. "Shoppers are depending on us to deliver the best price so they can stick to their plans, no matter what the economy throws at us."

TV specials included:

  • a flat-panel TV stand for $98.88 or motion wall mount for $99.86;
  • Vizio's 32-inch LCD TV for $597, 50-inch 720p plasma for $1,197 and 46-inch 1080p LCD for $1,346;
  • an RCA or Polaroid 32-inch LCD TV/DVD combo for $683; and
  • a $100 gift card with purchases of Philips 42-inch 1080p LCD TV, which retailed for $1,296.

Among other retailers, Circuit City revived its Super Bowl TV delivery guarantee, promising that sets sized 32 inches and larger could be purchased as late as 4 p.m. on the Wednesday before the game and still be delivered and set up in time for kickoff, or the customer would receive a $50 gift card. The chain also continued its 60-day HDTV price guarantee, which refunds 110 percent of the difference within 30 days, or 100 percent within 60 days, if a customer sees the same in-stock set advertised at a lower price by a local competitor.

At Sears Holdings, Kmart offered a 37-inch Olevia LCD TV for $617, and corporate sibling Sears pitched 36 months of interest-free payments or a $300 gift card on purchases of a Samsung 46-inch or larger HDTV with a Samsung audio system or Blu-ray Disc player.

Most Samsung dealers also leveraged the vendor's "Official HDTV of Super Bowl XLII" status by offering a $100 NFLShop.com gift certificate with purchases of the vendor's HDTVs in sizes 40 inches and larger.

While the promotions stimulated sales, the volume came at a cost. Bill Trawick, president and executive director of the NATM Buying Corp., reported that flat-panel unit sales remained "very, very strong" for the buying group's 12 regional CE chains. Margins, however, were a different story.

"We're struggling on margins," Trawick acknowledged. "The nationals, as well as some of our guys, have gotten very promotional to stimulate business, and we've seen a decline in margins."

Not surprisingly, retailers with store locations along the Northeast corridor enjoyed the biggest bump in sales, as consumers clamored to see the area's New York Giants go up against the New England Patriots on a big, high-definition display. "Thank God we've got a team in there," said John LaRegina, senior TV and video buyer for P.C. Richard & Son, the New York metro area chain. "The extra business created by the game has been significant. For any fan sitting on the HDTV fence, the decision was made. There's been a spike since the New York-Green Bay [conference championship] game, and business will be very strong right up to Sunday at noon."

 

CEA Forecast: Super Bowl Moved 2.4M HDTVs

Arlington, Va. — More than 2.4 million HDTVs were expected to be sold to watch Super Bowl XLII, according to an estimate published in a report by the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA) and the Sports Video Group.

In their third annual edition of "Sports and Technology," the joint associations said sales of HDTVs should generate some $2.2 billion in factory dollar volume this year.

Consumer electronics retailers are expected to benefit further, the CEA said, from increased sales of accessory items, which typically carry higher margins than the sets themselves.

The survey was based on an online national sample of 2,278 U.S. adults conducted Jan. 14-21.

The study also said that 57 percent of HDTV owners plan to go online after the game to view highlights or replay television commercials.

"We have long known that the Super Bowl influences HDTV unit sales," stated CEA market research senior director Tim Herbert. "We are now finding ties to other technologies consumers use to enhance their Super Bowl experience. This year, 18 percent of consumers watching the game expect to have a laptop PC nearby to check stats, IM with friends or check betting lines. Another 12 percent plan to use a PC in another room to check statistics during the game, and 13 percent expect to use their mobile phone for the same purpose."

Meanwhile, a separate consumer survey from the National Retail Federation (NRF) projected that total TV sales would top 3.9 million units, up more than 50 percent from last year.

Young adults, ages 18 to 24, were expected be the best customers, the survey suggested, with nearly one in 10 (9.8 percent) planning to buy a TV for the Feb. 3 event.

The 2008 Super Bowl Consumer Intentions and Actions Survey, commissioned by the Retail Advertising and Marketing Association (RAMA), a division of NRF, was designed to gauge consumer behavior and shopping trends related to the Super Bowl. The poll of 8,447 consumers was conducted from Jan. 2-8 by BIGresearch, and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percent.

The NRF/RAMA survey projected total spending for the game to reach $9.5 billion, with some 158 million people tuning in. Although the contest pitted two regional rivals, the New York Giants and the New England Patriots, Phil Rist, strategy VP for BIGresearch, believed that "people across the country will be watching the Super Bowl for entertainment. For many Americans, there is nothing better than watching football with friends and family — especially if they're also showing off a new TV." — Additional reporting by Alan Wolf

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