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AHAM Revises Shipment Forecasts, Wholesale Sales To Reach 78.6M Units

-- TWICE, 10/10/2005

Washington— The Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers has revised its forecast of factory shipments upward for 2005 and 2006.

The latest data set, based on a median of participating vendors' projections, calls for total wholesale sales of major appliances to approach 78.6 million units this year, up from earlier forecasts of 77.6 million units. Nevertheless, the revised figure still lags last year's total of 79.2 million units shipped.

Similarly, the outlook for 2006 has also improved slightly, with manufacturers now anticipating total wholesale sales of 80.3 million units, up from previous projections of 80.1 million pieces shipped.

On a category by category basis, only food preservation and cooking saw their shipment projections contract. Food preservation sales are now expected to hit 13.3 million units this year, down from prior expectations of 13.5 million units sold, while the outlook for 2006 calls for shipments of 13.6 million units, down from earlier forecasts of 13.8 million units in wholesale sales.

Projections for total cooking shipments in 2006 have also been lowered, from 25.8 million, to 25.7 million, although 2005 tallies have been upped from 25.1 million units to a projected 25.3 million units.

In home laundry, 2005 shipment projections edged up from 17 million units, to 17.1 million units, while shipments in 2006 have been revised upward from 17.4 million units to nearly 17.7 million units.

Projected sales of kitchen cleanup products have also improved for the current year, going from expectations of 14.2 million units shipped to an anticipated 14.4 million units sold to retailers. The changes are less dramatic for 2006, with current projections pegging total category sales at 14.5 million units, compared to previous projections of 14.4 million units.

In the most dramatic revision, expectations for home comfort sales have increased from 7.8 million units in 2005, to 8.5 million units, while projections for 2006 sales have grown from 8.7 million units to nearly 8.9 million room air conditioners and dehumidifiers.

Industry Shipments of Major Appliances*
(In Thousands of Units)
Product2002200320042005***2006***
COOKING - TOTAL21,91723,31525,39025,30025,667
Electric Ranges - Total5,3385,6226,1456,2026,270
Free Standing4,0304,2384,6124,6504,710
Built-In780841963983995
Surface Cooking Units528543570569565
Gas Ranges - Total3,6283,4193,7193,7973,873
Freestanding2,7812,8973,1243,1763,240
Built-In7167676768
Surface Cooking Units416455528554565
Microwave Ovens13,31114,27415,52615,30115,524
HOME LAUNDRY - TOTAL14,63715,48016,75417,11817,650
Automatic Washers7,7458,1468,8329,0749,319
Dryers - Total6,8927,3347,9228,0448,331
Electric5,4025,7186,2626,3506,603
Gas1,4901,6161,6601,6941,728
KITCHEN CLEAN UP - TOTAL12,13712,83113,88414,37514,478
Disposers5,8156,2776,6496,9006,800
Dishwashers - Total6,2076,4287,1067,3497,552
Built-In6,0496,2806,9537,2107,412
Portable158148153139140
Compactors115126129126126
FOOD PRESERVATION - TOTAL12,27912,54413,42913,29513,629
Refrigerators9,74410,02110,91310,93311,219
Freezers - Total2,5352,5232,5162,3622,410
Chest1,4921,5181,5291,4361,466
Upright1,0431,005987926944
HOME COMFORT - TOTAL6,9529,5279,7548,4958,863
Room Air Conditioners6,1538,2168,0827,0007,400
Dehumidifiers7991,3111,6721,4951,463
ALL MAJOR APPLIANCES67,92273,69779,21178,58380,287
AHAM 6***40,78542,49546,05546,63847,844
*Includes shipments for the U.S. market whether imported or domestically produced. Export shipments are NOT included.
**Forecasts as of July 31, 2005 Forecasts are a median of the participating companies' forecasts. Total Industry shipments may not add due to rounding.
***AHAM 6 includes: washers, dryers, dishwashers, refrigerators, freezers, and freestanding and built-in ranges.
Source: AHAM ©TWICE 2005

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