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NPD Reports Digital Technology Drove Holiday Sales

Staff -- TWICE, 1/22/2001

PORT WASHINGTON, N.Y. -As predicted last month by marketing information provider NPD Intelect Market Tracking, holiday 2000 has proved a major success for a select group of consumer electronics and technology categories.

Several of these categories experienced sizzling triple-digit sales growth. NPD Intelect's Early Indicator Panel, which consists of 11 major national retailers and mail-order houses, tracked a diverse range of 47 CE categories and 39 technology categories. The holiday sales results cover the period from Thanksgiving through Christmas 2000.

Overall, the CE categories were down 0.3 percent in unit sales during the holiday period. However, because new high-ticket digital products sold well, the group experienced dollar sales growth of 5.6 percent.

Despite slow desktop PC sales, several technology categories performed well during the holiday period, and sales among the NPD Intelect composite of 39 key technology categories were up marginally by 1.5 percent in units and 2.7 percent in dollars.

The fastest growing CE categories, the market research firm said, were personal video recorders, DVD players, home-theater-in-a-box, digital cameras and cellular phones. Units and dollars in several of these categories doubled or tripled.

"DVD has been the hottest new product launch in consumer electronics history and has driven new growth in many home theater product categories, particularly home theater in-a-box audio systems," commented audio and video tracking director Jim Hirschberg. "Personal video recorders are growing fast, but this is still a new category that is not yet fully understood by consumers.

"Other digital audio products-including MP3 players, CD recorders and portable CD players-sold well and more than compensated for declines in older, cassette-based products."

In the technology segment, desktop and printer sales decreased in both units and dollars. The big winners were those products that embrace portability. Personal digital assistants continued to skyrocket in units and dollars, followed by CD-RW drives and notebooks.

"While desktops are slowing in sales, we have seen the rise in portable products, such as notebooks, PDAs, cellular phones, and even headset stereos," said technology products VP Sima Vasa, "all of which support the harried U.S. professional and personal lifestyle."

Hot CE Categories: Holiday 2000 vs. 1999

Category

Units Percent Change

Dollars Percent Change

PVRs

300.8%

211.0%

DVD players

194.4%

102.1%

Home-theater-in-a-box

104.1%

139.5%

Digital cameras

74.9%

42.6%

Cellular phones

72.1%

44.2%

Key Technology Categories: Holiday 2000 vs. 1999

Category

Units Percent Change

Dollars Percent Change

PDAs

202.2%

165.0%

CD-RW drives

88.5%

66.8%

Notebooks

6.7%

6.9%

Desktops

-6.4%

-0.2%

Printers

-14.6%

-22.4%

Source: NPD Intelect Market Tracking

cTWICE 2001

U.S. HDTV Product Shipment Forecasts Units in 1,000s

Product Type

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

HDTV projection displays

340

570

885

1,150

1,350

Integrated HDTV projection sets (tuner + display)

37

85

120

165

220

Direct-view (CRT) HDTV displays

65

250

620

1,145

1,890

Integrated direct-view HDTV sets (tuner + display)

20

50

85

135

290

Standard-definition direct-view (CRT) digital TV sets

40

380

750

1,290

2,210

Flat-panel HDTV digital TV sets

7

20

50

85

130

HDTV 8-VSB set-top boxes

40

110

350

570

885

SDTV 8-VSB set-top boxes

55

400

850

1,500

3,000

Digital-capable A/V receivers

1,500

3,220

5,719

7,735

9,504

U.S. total annual shipments (units in 1,000s)

2,104

5,085

9,429

13,775

19,479

Annual percentage growth

-

141.7%

85.4%

46.1%

41.4%

Source: Cahners In-Stat

cTWICE 2001

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