Login  |  Register          Free Newsletter Subscription
Subscribe to TWICE Magazine
Email
Print
Reprint
Learn RSS

Potential Growth Contributors

Staff -- TWICE, 12/22/2003

In this story:
Digital Radio
Multichannel Music
Sidebars:
Key Points
Speaker Potential
Digital Radio

TWICE: What new product categories could help turn the industry around? Satellite radio in the home? HD Radio (digital AM/FM)?

Don Milks, Onkyo: As far as HD radio, that is not going to address the inherent content downsides of broadcast radio. Most of the broadcasts now are almost unbearable to listen to because of the commercials. I find myself listening to NPR almost 90% of the time I'm in the car. That's why I think a growing number of people are switching over to satellite radio in the car.

The question that I have a hard time answering is how to make the satellite-radio transformation from mobile, where it's a given, to the house? I think as people grow to expect and enjoy and demand it in the car, it'll start to make an influx into the home. I don't think it's there yet. We're hopeful that it will, but is that going to change the outlook for the home audio industry? Not by any stretch of the imagination.

Franklin Karp, Harvey: How many guys in this room have DirecTV, but how many times have you turned on the music channels? I don't think I've ever turned it on, and I've been a subscriber for four years.

Milks: However, I can't tell you the last time I listened to an FM broadcast in my house. I put on DirecTV and play it into the stereo system.

Eli Harary, Infinity: I don't see how it would drive more audio. I think that it fits into what customers already have. I'm not sure that it gets us back to the basics, which is better sound and spending more money for it.

Multichannel Music

TWICE: Any potential for the multichannel music formats to aid the home audio industry?

Karp: Manufacturers have done a horrible job presenting the category. I think DVD-A should have been a success because the DVD format has become the de facto silver disk to purchase. But it fell on its face. Multichannel SACD is wonderful, but I don't think Sony's done a particularly good job of communicating.

I'll blame all the manufacturers and the software side, which stood to gain the most because they would be selling more razor blades. They didn't do a good job on pricing. So unfortunately, what I thought had potential really has not blossomed at all.

The retailers can't carry that format. They really can't.

I'm impressed that a car manufacturer, Acura, is advertising DVD-A in the new 3.2TL. That's pretty bold on their part, given how many DVD-Audio disks you can go to Best Buy and buy right now.

Gary Bauhard, Pioneer: There's always the trap of having two formats. But let's take the format issue out of the equation. It [multichannel music] is building steam because clearly, here is a case where the hardware is not what's key. The content is going to drive the formats. On the hardware side, what is important is to not make the consumer choose. Deliver a product that plays both formats because, at the end of the day, what it's all about is being able to choose the content that they want to listen to.

Karp: A confused consumer buys nothing.

Pioneer: And when you come to content, where do I get it? Only two retailers are taking a proactive stance in providing content, identifying it on the music itself, specifically Best Buy and Tower Records. Otherwise, from the consumer side, where do I go get it? Where do I go listen to it?

Certainly from the hardware side, there's no longer much of a price barrier for hardware that delivers both formats. They're under $200. They're just an absolute tremendous value to the consumer. And they can figure out why they need it and what's cool about it.

Sean Wargo, CEA : Let's be honest. MP3 and online music services really stole the thunder on the content side for a large segment of consumers. That's what they're paying attention to. That's what they're thinking about when they go into the market for content these days. Yes, CDs sell, and they may be thinking well, it would be nice to have a better [multichannel] CD, but I really like the portability that these online music services give me.

Milks: If I went downstairs to survey 50 people at random, very few would be able to explain SACD or DVD-Audio.

Wargo : I agree. We haven't asked that [in our surveys], but I would expect that to be the case, given what we've seen from other survey research. And they would probably have a hard time telling you whether it's better than CD because a lot of consumers surveyed by us think MP3 as a general category is the same quality as CD. That makes a lot of high-end audio people's eyes roll, but it's one of the realities of the marketplace.

TWICE: Perhaps the multichannel formats haven't taken off because the music industry was focused on fighting file-sharing battles and consolidating in the face of shrinking revenues. The music industry is in turmoil, and I don't think that industry can focus on an emerging technology like this when they're focused on fighting fires.

Kerry Moyer, CEA : Isn't it interesting that every new digital music product introduced over the past 10 years met with some degree of controversy. Whether it was digital audiotape, DCC — even DVD-Audio — was delayed in its introduction due to the controversy surrounding the fact that it was a high-quality digital source. If CD were introduced today, would it even make it to market? Look at how many things have totally changed in 20 years, and yet we're still listening to CDs 20 years later. What's the replacement for CDs?

TWICE: Multichannel music to me makes a lot of sense, but I'm wondering if the real target for that ought to be the car where you're in the sweet spot all the time. If consumers listen to music in the home mainly as background while moving about, then multichannel music makes less sense in the home and more sense in the car, where speakers will always surround you.

T. Paul Jacobs, Klipsch: If people are listening to music mostly as background in the home, and we have a tough time getting them to sit down and watch a movie in surround, it's very tough to get them to listen to music at home in surround.

Harary: From the Harman perspective, we're certainly deeply engaged in presenting multichannel sound in automobiles with Logic 7, etc.

TWICE: Do you think the car market would be the stronger market for multichannel music?

Karp: It would be a great place to get people exposed to it.

Pioneer: No doubt, it'll help confirm the validity of the formats.

Moyer: Historically, if you think about it, when you had front and rear speakers and you had the option to fade between front and rear, it was, if you think about it, most people's idea of surround sound.

TWICE: Perhaps promoting multichannel music in the car to the youth market could eventually stimulate this next generation of potential home audio buyers to step up to multichannel music in the home.

 

Key Points

  • The design of component-audio products must improve to match the contemporary styling of flat-panel TVs. Some audio suppliers have taken the first steps.
  • Many HTiB systems have already adopted the contemporary design and look of flat-panel displays.
  • Lack of software exposure and consumers' focus on portable compressed-music formats have contributed to lackluster demand for the DVD-Audio and SACD multichannel music formats.
  • The audio industry's potential is as great as ever, but only if suppliers embrace changing consumer listening habits and meet consumer demand for stylish, stress-free products.
  • Satellite radio and digital AM/FM radio will have an impact on the home audio market, but the impact won't even come close to the impact that CD and surround-sound had.

Speaker Potential

TWICE: Where will growth come from in home speakers?

Franklin Karp, Harvey: I've seen some really innovative products from the design side, and those products have been warmly embraced on my floors and by the consumers. I've seen growth in certain box-speaker categories. It comes down to design and functionality, and they happen to sound good as well. I don't think I have any products on the floor that don't sound good. But a couple of manufacturers I do business with have made a concerted effort to step outside of the box and come up with products that are appealing to the eye, appealing to women. I'm seeing the fruits of their labors. I don't even want a traditional black-vinyl box on my floor anymore.

The faster that manufacturers go to outside designers, look outside their own employees at what's going on in the world in form and function, then I think that there is potential for us to sell more expensive speakers again — not necessarily to audiophiles but to people who appreciate something that looks good.

I said this at a speaker manufacturer's sales meeting several months ago. I said you're making a good-sounding speaker, but you know what? I don't know how important that is today. It's got to look good. I know it's going to sound good, but it's got to look good. And it's got to fit into people's lifestyles.

And it's not expensive because they're looking at nontraditional materials. They're looking at aluminum. I think that the guys who are willing to make the investment in tooling and design are going to get some business back. The traditional box builder has a problem.

Eli Harary, Infinity: At Harman, we have been focused on high-quality, forward-thinking industrial design for a very long time in the Infinity and JBL brands. From what we've seen, it's a matter of delivering the traditional loudspeaker at a much better value with better performance, then do the stuff that isn't traditional, and make sure that it is significantly more lifestyle-driven than in the past. Both brands are seeing pretty good business because we're addressing both of those sides of the market.

Karp: Sit inside an Acura and look at the fit and finish. This is what the consumer's becoming accustomed to. Mismatched seams are not acceptable anymore. It's about how it looks — the tactile impression. It's more about ergonomics and style than it is anything else now. The guys who embrace that are going to thrive.

Harary: There are consumers who have gotten to the point that if they walk into your store, they think they're not going to hear a bad speaker. There's a certain expectation that grew up over the past several years where consumers believe if it's a good brand, they're not going to make bad-sounding stuff. So now it's a question of whether the consumer finds something that appeals to them and is easy enough for them to want to get to.

T. Paul Jacobs, Klipsch: We don't see a lot of growth in the traditional boxes. We think there's a market for that and will be for a long time, but our investment is going into design, application and usability. What we're really trying to instill in our people is that you had all this passion for how the stuff sounded. People buy a Rolex or a BMW because it makes them feel a certain way. And we think we can accomplish that by getting the right mix of sound and design.

We've done a lot of testing with the female segment, and it is amazing how women turn on if you've got the right design. We have to spend more time on that message. I think it's going to be a long-term ongoing message.

TWICE: Perhaps new design could do for speakers what Franklin said plasma did for TV. There must be a big installed base of older, boxy speakers. Now, if consumers can go into a store, find really stylish stuff that sounds better and has a narrow profile, perhaps that will trigger a displacement sale, not a replacement sale.

Gary Bauhard, Pioneer: We've demonstrated a flat panel with 254 amplified drivers in a form factor that looks virtually like the plasma display, and it's able to create 5.1. It's $40,000 and not for everyone, but it speaks to application and solution.

We have to think more about application solutions, and a lot more diversity is coming in loudspeaker technology.

Sean Wargo, CEA: One thing about the speaker market is that it's totally applications-driven, even more so than video, because consumers will buy a TV to have the latest TV technology. For speakers, HTiB is proving that they want some sort of a solution bundle that fulfills a certain application need.

One thing missing today is a company that serves the gamer market and the PC-audio market with an application-driven speaker designed and packaged to cater to their needs.

TWICE: Any recommendations as to what you would like to see?

Wargo : If you go into a Tweeter or Myer Emco as a slightly higher-end consumer interested in MP3 or the gaming experience, you don't see it in those retail stores. You don't see applications, design elements, basically a package that would cater to that audience with an upgraded speaker experience, an upgraded integration experience, how it fits into your house and integrates into the house.

Jacobs: We have a pretty phenomenal gaming system. It's probably our most innovative design. But if you look at X-Box, you can't — with what you buy in the store — hook up a surround system unless you start buying accessories. They make it very difficult for gamers to actually have gaming audio.

We've been trying to work with retailers to do demos because we thought it was a niche with some real opportunity. It'll still coming. There's a projection that 144 million game consoles will be sold worldwide over the next couple of years. You only need a small piece of that to really make a difference.

But it's difficult if Franklin wanted to put a display like that in his store. Where do you get all the pieces? Do you want to be in the X-Box business when you're clearly not making any money on X-Box and the only way to make money is in software? It is an opportunity, but it isn't that easy.

If you take Best Buy, they've had a difficult time finding a way to demo it and get gamers to embrace it. The high-end gamers still play on computers. Game console users have not embraced spending a lot of the extra money on speakers and things like that.

The opportunities are with people who play on computers. They tend to be an older age demo. It might be a different, perhaps even easier sale.

Wargo : I'm thinking of a design concept built around games that doesn't look like a home theater. Personally, I don't have the space in my house for a home theatre. I have a living area that I would love to make into a game-oriented room with all the design elements that go with that. I'm talking lighting, furniture with all A/V integrated, and gaming at the center. But I don't see it in the stores.

I think the profit center in gaming could be in the actual design elements around the experience of gaming. Whether gaming is done on PCs or consoles, that's irrelevant to me. It's more about the experience.

Jacobs: Some retailers see the potential opportunity in gaming, but I'm not sure how you measure what a gamer is willing to invest to create this environment. From what we've seen, it's a pretty high risk at this point.

If you look at where the money is being spent on X-Box, PS2 and the like, they were pretty cool products as far as offering music, movies, surround and Internet gateways. Yet the first thing they had to do was lower the price from $299 to $199.

I always say to my guys that we don't want to become the Commodore of computers. You know, I want to be out there doing some cool things, but I don't want to be out of business saying, "Gee, if only we weren't the first ones."

Email
Print
Reprint
Learn RSS

Talkback

We would love your feedback!

Post a comment

» VIEW ALL TALKBACK THREADS

Related Content

Related Content

 

By This Author

Sponsored Links





 
Advertisement
Sponsored Links

More Content

  • Blogs
  • Podcasts
  • Photos

Blogs


Sorry, no blogs are active for this topic.

» VIEW ALL BLOGS RSS

Photos

  • TWICE On The Scene: Panasonic Is Going Green
    Matsushita gave TWICE a tour of its eco-friendly house design this week that featurews a home energy-management system that advises homeowners on how and when to use household appliances.
  • China Photo Blog
    TWICE Editor Steve Smith is attending SinoCES this week in Qingdao, China. Here are some shots of what he has seen so far.
  • TWICE on the Scene: Aerosmith
    The legendary rock band Aerosmith was in New York City's Times Square last week to help launch Guitar Hero: Aerosmith. (Photos by Lisa Johnston)
Advertisements





NEWSLETTERS
Click on a title below to learn more.

TWICE Daily E-mail Update
TWICE Retail
©2008 Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Use of this Web site is subject to its Terms of Use | Privacy Policy
Please visit these other Reed Business sites