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Majap Sales Stalling In '05

— Alan Wolf -- TWICE, 7/11/2005

What goes up must come down, and white goods are no exception.

Following last year's explosive 7.5 percent growth, factory shipments of major appliances are expected to return to their mean this year by falling 2 percent to 79.2 million units. The downturn represents the first significant setback since 1994, when wholesale sales also slipped 2 percent to 49.6 million units.

The dour projection — a median of forecasts from participating vendors — was developed by the Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers, here, as part of its annual Trends and Forecasts report. The good news, however, is that the industry is expected to enjoy a resurgence in 2006, when factory shipments are forecast to climb 3.2 percent to just over 80 million units.

The biggest drag on this year's shipments comes from room air, where unit sales are projected to fall nearly 20 percent to some 6.5 million units. Each of the other major majap product categories are expected to remain essentially flat for the balance of 2005 through 2006 — when room air finds it footing and ships about 7.4 million units for a 14 percent gain.

Industry Shipments of Major Appliances*
(In Thousands of Units)
Product 2002 2003 2004 2005** 2006**
Cooking-Total 21,917 23,315 25,390 25,141 25,760
Electric Ranges - Total 5,338 5,622 6,145 6,265 6,361
Free Standing 4,030 4,238 4,612 4,690 4,757
Built-In 780 841 963 996 1,016
Surface Cooking Units 528 543 570 579 588
Gas Ranges - Total 3,268 3,419 3,719 3,802 3,914
Free Standing 2,781 2,897 3,124 3,185 3,280
Built-In 71 67 67 67 67
Surface Cooking Units 416 455 528 550 567
Microwave Ovens 13,311 14,274 15,526 15,074 15,485
Home Laundry-Total 14,637 15,480 16,754 16,959 17,412
Automatic Washers 7,745 8,146 8,832 8,932 9,111
Dryers - total 6,892 7,334 7,922 8,027 8,301
Electric 5,402 5,718 6,262 6,350 6,603
Gas 1,490 1,616 1,660 1,677 1,698
Kitchen Clean-Up-Total 12,137 12,831 13,884 14,203 14,413
Disposers 5,815 6,277 6,649 6,700 6,775
Dishwashers - Total 6,207 6,428 7,106 7,377 7,513
Built-In 6,049 6,280 6,953 7,231 7,367
Portable 158 148 153 146 146
Compactors 115 126 129 126 125
Food Preservation -Total 12,279 12,544 13,429 13,458 13,760
Refrigerators 9,744 10,021 10,913 11,019 11,246
Freezers - Total 2,535 2,523 2,516 2,439 2,514
Chest 1,492 1,518 1,529 1,463 1,510
Upright 1,043 1,005 987 976 1,00
Home Comfort-Total 6,952 9,527 9,754 7,819 8,726
Room Air Conditioners 6,153 8,216 8,082 6,500 7,400
Dehumidifiers 799 1,311 1,672 1,319 1,326
All major appliances 67,922 73,697 79,211 77,580 80,071
AHAM 6*** 40,785 42,495 46,055 46,732 47,805
*Includes shipments for the U.S. market whether imported or domestically produced. Export Shipments are NOT included.
**Forecasts as of April 30, 2005 Forecasts are a median of the participating companies' forecasts.
Total Industry shipments may not add up due to rounding.
***AHAM 6 includes: Washers, Dryers, Dishwashers, Refrigerators, Freezers, and Free-standing and Built-In Ranges.
Source: AHAM ©TWICE 2005

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